Thursday, August 26, 2004

August 26

An LA Times poll puts President Bush ahead of John Kerry for the first time, a 49-46 lead that reverses Kerry's two-point edge a month ago.

As Ron Brownstein writes:

That small shift from July was within the poll's margin of error. But it fit with other findings in the Times poll showing the electorate edging toward Bush over the past month on a broad range of measures, from support for his handling of Iraq to confidence in his leadership and honesty.

Although a solid majority of Americans say they believe Kerry served honorably in Vietnam, the poll showed that the attacks on the senator from a group of Vietnam veterans criticizing his performance in combat and his antiwar protests at home have left some marks: Kerry suffered small but consistent erosion compared with July on questions relating to his Vietnam experience, his honesty and his fitness to serve as commander in chief.

Also, some interesting numbers out of a battleground survey for the Tarrance Group consultancy, showing that while more voters would prefer a change in president and a significant majority feel the country is on the 'wrong track' as opposed to the 'right track', President Bush still has a 52 per cent approval rating.

As has been observed recently, the GOP will tend not to panic unless that number falls consistently below 50 per cent.

Meanwhile, John McCain thinks its time to stop refighting Vietnam. And according to USA Today:

McCain, a Kerry friend, is the focal point of a new Kerry ad running in three states and on national cable to counteract the Swift Boat ads. It shows McCain excoriating Bush in a primary debate in 2000 for failing to condemn veterans who had accused McCain of being anti-veteran.

McCain is not happy about the ad. “I regret … that the Kerry campaign is using what happened in the 2000 campaign as a way to attack President Bush. … What happened to me in the year 2000 is over. I have put it behind me.”




Tuesday, August 24, 2004

August 24

Just a few days to go before the Republican Convention, and John Kerry is in New York as he attempts to staunch the damage from the Swift Boat Veterans ads and the associated clamour (a task that wasn't particularly helped on Sunday morning by Jon Corzine admitting on Meet The Press that the other side's bombardment had scored a hit).

Later, Kerry appears on the Daily Show with Jon Stewart.

On the Swift Boat ad farrago, Dan Froomkin in the Washington Post rightly points out that the President's "condemnation" of the ad was nothing of the kind.

One aspect of the row, which maybe the Bush-Cheney camp hadn't bargained for, is the extent to which their tactics will be seen as the same strategy they employed against John McCain in 2000 and how folks can pretty easily join the dots - a point well made by Tad Devine on the aforementioned MTP.

All of which is managing, pretty darn successfully, to keep the Abu Ghraib inquiry - and the likely non-appearance of Donald Rumsfeld - out of the headlines.