Wednesday, October 20, 2004

October 20

At risk of drawing too obvious a parallel, it seems much may be learned about the nature of this election campaign from what happens in The Bronx this evening.

John Kerry's Boston Red Sox aim to come from behind to snatch a dramatic and truly unprecedented victory against the New York Yankees.

The Yankees, to some nothing less than the "evil empire", are baseball's most succesful franchise, and also its richest; able to spend whatever it takes to achieve the ultimate prize, and certain to face a wholesale restructuring of their personnel if they choke tonight.

The Sox, on the other hand, are without a doubt the favourites of everyone who isn't a Yankee fan; the perpetually-underachieving moral conscience, almost, of a sport that has endured many slurs and attacks in recent years, but yet still represents everything that is potentially pure and true about America's soul.

We shall see....

In the real world, meanwhile, the latest ABC News poll puts the Yankees, sorry, President Bush, ahead by five points. As ABC points out, though:

"The vast majority of first-timers — 82 percent — are under age 30. And whether it's their first time at the polls or not, young voters currently are Kerry's best age group, the only one in which he wins majority support.

"New voters also are less likely to be Republicans (27 percent, compared with 36 percent of repeat voters) and more apt to be liberals (28 percent vs. 17 percent). There are also twice as many minorities among voting novices; one in four is black or Hispanic."


Will it be enough to make a difference come polling day?

Or, indeed, come polling day, will the whole nation still be in court?










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